How do the budget’s financial projections compare to those previously published by the Territory Government?

Summary

Comparisons are made in BP2 Budget strategy and outlook with the 2025-26 Budget.

Chapter 2: fiscal outlook outlines factors and considerations contributing to any material differences between the budget and previous fiscal outlook projections. The chapter includes reconciliation tables that illustrate key policy and non‑policy factors that have affected financial projections.

Policy factors include new funding commitments made by government, savings and revenue‑raising measures and additional capital works commitments.

Non-policy factors are measures largely outside the control of government, such as the timing of expenses or changes in external economic conditions affecting; interest revenue, GST revenues, taxation collections and royalties.

Read Budget strategy and outlook (BP2) PDF (1.3 MB)

Table 2.3 summarises the effect of policy and non-policy changes on the non financial public sector’s fiscal balance since the 2025-26 Budget.

BP2, Table 2.3: Non financial public sector fiscal balance – policy and non-policy changes since 2025‑26 Budget

2025-262026-272027-282028-292029-301
RevisedBudgetForward estimate
 $M $M $M $M $M
2025-26 Budget- 1 308- 897- 529- 531- 454
Policy changes - 72nilnilnilnil
Non-policy changes 419- 18192122
2025-26 Mid-Year Report - 961- 915- 510- 510- 432
Policy changes - 89- 410- 273- 133- 124
Non-policy changes 466266375404551
2026-27 Budget- 583- 1 058- 407- 239- 5

1 Amounts not published in the 2025-26 Budget and 2025-26 Mid-Year Report.